NavList:
A Community Devoted to the Preservation and Practice of Celestial Navigation and Other Methods of Traditional Wayfinding
Re: Prob 1/4 of being in a cocked hat
From: Geoffrey Kolbe
Date: 2021 Jun 24, 04:32 -0700
From: Geoffrey Kolbe
Date: 2021 Jun 24, 04:32 -0700
Gary Lapook said, "In fact,if you get THE PERFECT fix, all lines cross on one point, you definately are not there.."
Thank you for that Gary! It perfectly highlights the falsity of trying to do statistics with one result, or trying to associate the result that cocked hats will in general cover the actual position with a probability of 0.25, with any particular cocked hat. There are not enough data to make any such conclusions from one cocked hat. You need an ensemble of cocked hats to make any statistical statements.
