NavList:

Hi Folks

I add something most interesting - something I had never heard of in air crash investigation - 0049 Wednesday night I switched to "Air Crash Investigation" - and it was the investigation into the Kobe helicopter crash in California - and up popped a modern term that I had never heard of 

"(Plan) Continuation Bias"  is the unconscious cognitive bias to continue with the original plan in spite of changing conditions."  - 

I used a different term in one of my posts that could be broadly considered the same - a common malady we called in the air force  "Pushonitis".

I suspect Amelia Earhart was suffering this malady when she took off from Lao and the decision to continue past the PNR ( Point of No Return)  which should have been calculated and continuously updated by Fred - once you pass this point you have no choice but to continue to your destination - you CANNOT get back to your departure field. 

Captain Earhart decided to continue - their fate was sealed. 

Regards Howard G