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    Re: Dip-meter again
    From: Richard B. Langley
    Date: 2012 Apr 10, 11:32 -0300

    I think this is the paper:
    
    NAVIGATION: Journal of The Institute of Navigation
    Vol. 42, No. 4, Winter 1995
    
    Determining the Position
    of a Vessel from Celestial
    Observations
    and Motion
    
    GEORGE H. KAPLAN
    U.S. Naval Observatory, Washington, D.C.
    
    But I need to go through it. Scanning it, it seems that dip is  
    considered known. Kaplan's model would have to be augmented for an  
    unknown dip parameter.
    
    -- Richard
    
    On 10-Apr-12, at 11:17 AM, Richard B. Langley wrote:
    
    > Alex:
    >
    > As you say in your P.S., you HAVE to have a functional model  
    > describing your data for parametric least squares. So your proposed  
    > numerical example is incomplete. The assumption, of course, is that  
    > the model is a good approximation of the actual physical or  
    > mathematical relationship between the observations and the  
    > parameters to be estimated. The observations are assumed to have  
    > unknown random errors.
    >
    > Let me illustrate with how GPS positioning works with redundant  
    > (more than 4) observations where we must estimate the receiver clock  
    > bias, which can be taken to be the same for all simultaneous  
    > observations.
    >
    > Simplified model:
    >
    > P = rho + c * dT
    >
    > where P = measured pseudorange (includes a random error component)
    >    rho = geometric range (distance between satellite and receiver)
    >      c = speed of light
    >     dT = receiver clock offset
    >
    > rho is a non-linear function of the satellite coordinates (known)  
    > and the receiver coordinates (unknown) as is dT. So, we have four  
    > unknowns: x, y, z, dT. With five or more simultaneous observations,  
    > we can estimate these parameters using least squares to get the  
    > "best" values.
    >
    > Using vector/matrix representation, let X be the vector of unknowns,  
    > A is the matrix of partial derivatives of the observations with  
    > respect to the parameters (the "design matrix") and P is the vector  
    > of observations. Then
    >
    > delta-X = A^-1 delta-P
    >
    > where delta-X is the estimated increment to a starting value for X  
    > (X_0, from previous observations or some other knowledge or  
    > guesstimate) and delta-P are the differences between observed and  
    > computed values of the observables.
    >
    > Then,
    >
    > X = X_0 + delta-X.
    >
    > Since this is a non-linear problem, iterations may be necessary  
    > until delta-X becomes sufficiently small. One can also compute a  
    > covariance matrix for the estimates, X, which comes from a  
    > propagation of the random errors in the measurements into the  
    > estimated parameter values.
    >
    > I'm fairly sure you could set up a parametric model for sextant  
    > observations that includes dip, which would allow you to estimate it  
    > (or refine a guess). And since you raised it in a subsequent  
    > posting, perhaps you could also (or alternatively) include a time  
    > error of the observations and estimate that. Both models would  
    > assume that the two nuisance parameters, the dip and the clock  
    > error, were constant for the suite of observations used.
    >
    > I believe someone from USNO a few years ago wrote a paper that was  
    > published in the ION's journal Navigation on processing sextant  
    > observations using least squares (I haven't done it myself but I  
    > should). I'll try to dig it up.
    >
    > -- Richard
    >
    > P.S. I teach a course on introductory adjustment calculus (least  
    > squares) and another one that includes fundamental astronomy where  
    > the students use a T2 theodolite to reduce sun shots rather than a  
    > sextant.
    >
    > On 10-Apr-12, at 10:29 AM, Alexandre E Eremenko wrote:
    >
    >> Dear Richard,
    >> Sorry I do not understand your idea.
    >> I said "NO statistical method can eliminate such bias"
    >> Perhaps I am wrong. But then please explain me on a numerical  
    >> example.
    >> Suppose you have a series of numbers,
    >> say observations taken at times 1,2,3,4,
    >> and the readings are 5,6,7,8.
    >> Please tell me from these data,
    >> what was the true quantity and what was the error.
    >>
    >> Alex.
    >>
    >> P.S. Parametric estimation in statistics must use some mathematical
    >> model of the data, the model involving parameters. From observation
    >> one can estimate these parameters, IF THE MODEL IS CORRECT.
    >> Unfortunately we do not have an appropriate mathematical model
    >> of the anomalous dip, expecially how it varies with time.
    >>
    >> On Tue, 10 Apr 2012, Richard B. Langley wrote:
    >>
    >>>
    >>> Thanks, Alex, but I was not talking about ordinary averaging but the
    >>> use of parametric least squares, which is able to estimate the value
    >>> of a bias along with the parameters of interest. So, if we have a
    >>> series of observations for which we can assume that the bias was
    >>> reasonably constant, then by simultaneously processing the complete
    >>> set, one should be able to get a single estimate of position and the
    >>> value of the bias (dip).
    >>> -- Richard
    >>>
    >>> On 10-Apr-12, at 9:49 AM, Alexandre E Eremenko wrote:
    >>>
    >>>> Dear Richard,
    >>>>
    >>>> Unfortunately, no statistical method, including least squares
    >>>> can help with dip. The reason is that dip can deviate from its
    >>>> normal value for relatively long periods.
    >>>> For example, if our much discussed observation with Bill B on lake
    >>>> Michigan is explained by the dip (which a majority on the list  
    >>>> seems
    >>>> to believe), this anomalous dip persisted for several hours,
    >>>> and was almost constant. (This is an extreme example of course).
    >>>> What averaging (or least square) helps to eliminate is a
    >>>> SUM of MANY small INDEPENDENT errors.
    >>>> The error of the dip is not a "random" error but a "systematic"  
    >>>> one.
    >>>> And the only way to eliminate it is the use of some dip-meter  
    >>>> device.
    >>>>
    >>>> However, we know that dip-meters were rarely used.
    >>>> (Western manuals almost never mention the device,
    >>>> Soviet ones do mention, and recommend, and it was a standard
    >>>> equipment,
    >>>> but the same manuals recognize that "people do not use it").
    >>>>
    >>>> This only shows that navigators did not care about anomalous dip.
    >>>> That high accuracy in celestial navigation was not needed,
    >>>> and that large variations of the dip are probably rare.
    >>>>
    >>>> Alex.
    >>>>
    >>>> On Tue, 10 Apr 2012, Richard B. Langley wrote:
    >>>>
    >>>>>
    >>>>> Warning: academic exercise follows ;-)
    >>>>>
    >>>>> Perhaps if one has sufficient redundant observations and uses  
    >>>>> least
    >>>>> squares to estimate position, one could include dip as an  
    >>>>> additional
    >>>>> quantity estimated simultaneously from the (biased)  
    >>>>> observations. The
    >>>>> same procedure is used to process GPS measurements where one of  
    >>>>> the
    >>>>> "nuisance" parameters is the offset of the receiver's clock from  
    >>>>> GPS
    >>>>> System Time, which is generally unknown.
    >>>>>
    >>>>> -- Richard Langley
    >>>>>
    >>>>> On 10-Apr-12, at 1:31 AM, Antoine Cou�tte wrote:
    >>>>>
    >>>>>> Still, your observations once again point out that DIP is  
    >>>>>> definitely
    >>>>>> one "weak link" in the accuracy computation chain, since even  
    >>>>>> under
    >>>>>> (quite) good conditions, dip standard deviation was already  
    >>>>>> close to
    >>>>>> 0.15/0.20 arc minute.
    >>>>>>
    >>>>>
    >>>>> -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    >>>>> | Richard B. Langley                            E-mail:
    >>>>> lang---ca         |
    >>>>> | Geodetic Research Laboratory                  Web: http://www.unb.ca/GGE/
    >>>>> |
    >>>>> | Dept. of Geodesy and Geomatics Engineering    Phone:    +1 506
    >>>>> 453-5142   |
    >>>>> | University of New Brunswick                   Fax:      +1 506
    >>>>> 453-4943   |
    >>>>> | Fredericton, N.B., Canada  E3B
    >>>>> 5A3                                        |
    >>>>> |        Fredericton?  Where's that?  See: http://
    >>>>> www.fredericton.ca/       |
    >>>>> -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    >>>>>
    >>>>>
    >>>>>
    >>>>>
    >>>>>
    >>>>> : http://fer3.com/arc/m2.aspx?i=118883
    >>>>>
    >>>>>
    >>>
    >>> -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    >>> | Richard B. Langley                            E-mail:
    >>> lang---ca         |
    >>> | Geodetic Research Laboratory                  Web: http://www.unb.ca/GGE/
    >>> |
    >>> | Dept. of Geodesy and Geomatics Engineering    Phone:    +1 506
    >>> 453-5142   |
    >>> | University of New Brunswick                   Fax:      +1 506
    >>> 453-4943   |
    >>> | Fredericton, N.B., Canada  E3B
    >>> 5A3                                        |
    >>> |        Fredericton?  Where's that?  See: http://
    >>> www.fredericton.ca/       |
    >>> -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    >>>
    >>>
    >>>
    >>>
    >>>
    >>> : http://fer3.com/arc/m2.aspx?i=118885
    >>>
    >>>
    >
    > -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    > | Richard B. Langley                            E-mail:  
    > lang@unb.ca         |
    > | Geodetic Research Laboratory                  Web: http://www.unb.ca/GGE/ 
    >  |
    > | Dept. of Geodesy and Geomatics Engineering    Phone:    +1 506  
    > 453-5142   |
    > | University of New Brunswick                   Fax:      +1 506  
    > 453-4943   |
    > | Fredericton, N.B., Canada  E3B  
    > 5A3                                        |
    > |        Fredericton?  Where's that?  See: http:// 
    > www.fredericton.ca/       |
    > -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    >
    >
    >
    >
    
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    | Richard B. Langley                            E-mail:  
    lang@unb.ca         |
    | Geodetic Research Laboratory                  Web: http://www.unb.ca/GGE/ 
      |
    | Dept. of Geodesy and Geomatics Engineering    Phone:    +1 506  
    453-5142   |
    | University of New Brunswick                   Fax:      +1 506  
    453-4943   |
    | Fredericton, N.B., Canada  E3B  
    5A3                                        |
    |        Fredericton?  Where's that?  See: http:// 
    www.fredericton.ca/       |
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    
    
    
    
    

       
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