NavList:
A Community Devoted to the Preservation and Practice of Celestial Navigation and Other Methods of Traditional Wayfinding
Re: Still on LOP's
From: Rodney Myrvaagnes
Date: 2002 Apr 20, 02:34 -0500
From: Rodney Myrvaagnes
Date: 2002 Apr 20, 02:34 -0500
On Sat, 20 Apr 2002 11:18:30 +0100, George Huxtable wrote: >Williams says- > >"Fig 14.6 is the cocked hat formed by three position lines. If no >information is available on the distribution of error the probability of >being in each of the seven zones defined by the cocked hat is as shown in >the figure. The proof is so simple that an outline of it is given in note If a mariner takes a series of LOPs, and they come somewhere near to defining a position, he has a lot of information about the error distributions. The assumption of no information at all implies equal probability anywhere in the world. Under that assumption (only) the division into left and right at 0.5 each for a LOP makes sense. That means each bearing could as easily have been 90 degrees away from where it just happened to fall. Come on guys. Maybe someone would like to compute the probability of a tight cocked hat occuring in the first place from such useless data. Disclaimer: I have made navigation errors, two resulting in insurance clames. I am 66 years old and still alive. Rodney Myrvaagnes J36 Gjo/a "Nuke the gay whales for Jesus" -- anon T-shirt