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Re: Friendly challenge : Jupiter Lunar Exercise 09 Feb 2011
From: Paul Hirose
Date: 2011 Feb 13, 13:28 -0800
From: Paul Hirose
Date: 2011 Feb 13, 13:28 -0800
Antoine Couette wrote: > Date : Feb 09 th, 2011 > observations took place in the [15:30 UT - 18:30 UT] time frame, > Non moving Observer > Height of eye : 17 ft above sea level, tide was high and (almost) steady. > Temperature : 12�C / 53.6�F > Pressure : 1017 Mb/hPa / 30.03 In. Hg > All heights corrected for only Instrument error (Refraction, SD and > Parallax need to be performed) > The horizon was exceptionally clear and sharp/well defined. INITIAL ESTIMATES OF CLOCK ERROR, LATITUDE, LONGITUDE Clock error estimate #1 = -15h45m. Position estimate #1 = 47°N 002°W. SUN ALTITUDE OBSERVATION > 1 - First set of Observations : 5 Sun Lower Limb shots : > > Watch Time t11=00h00m28.0s T11 = 15h45m28.0s H11 = 11�39.8' > Watch Time t12=00h01m43.0s T12 = 15h46m43.0s H12 = 11�29'4 > Watch Time t13=00h02m57.0s T13 = 15h47m57.0s H13 = 11�19'2 > Watch Time t14=00h04m05.0s T14 = 15h49m05.0s H14 = 11�10'0 > Watch Time t15=00h05m28.0s T15 = 15h50m28.0S H15 = 10�58'6 Mean watch time = 00h02m56s, mean refracted altitude = 11°19.4' - 4.0' dip = 11°15.4'. Estimated UTC = watch time - error = 00h02m56s - -15h45m = 15h47m56s. Altitude residual (i.e., observed - computed) = -1°38.4' = -1.640. Partial derivative of altitude with respect to north latitude = cos azimuth = cos 231° = -.630° per degree of north lat. This is the effect of a northerly change of latitude on computed altitude. Partial derivative of altitude with respect to east longitude = sin az cos lat = sin 231° cos 47° = -.530° per degree of east lon. The partial derivative of altitude with respect to time is simply the time equivalent of the above: -.530° per 4 minutes of time, or -.133° per minute. However, the sign must be reversed because my unknown is actually clock error, not time. (An increase in clock error is equivalent to a decrease in time.) With the values above, form an equation to represent the Sun altitude observation. On the left is the altitude residual. On the right, the partial derivatives are the coefficients and the variables are the unknown corrections to latitude (∆φ), longitude (∆λ), and clock error (∆CE). -1.640 = -.630 ∆φ - .530 ∆λ + .133 ∆CE MOON ALTITUDE OBSERVATION > 2 - Second set of Observations : 5 Moon Lower Limb shots : > > Watch Time t21=01h40m23.0s T21 = 17h25m23.0s H21 = 57�28'0 > Watch Time t22=01h41m15.0s T22 = 17h26m15.0s H22 = 57�24'7 > Watch Time t23=01h42m48.0s T23 = 17h27m48.0s H23 = 57�18'6 > Watch Time t24=01h43m37.0s T24 = 17h28m37.0s H24 = 57�15'1 > Watch Time t25=01h44m55.0s T25 = 17h29m55.0s H25 = 57�09'6 Mean watch time = 01h42m36s, mean refracted altitude 57°19.2' - 4.0' dip = 57°15.2'. Estimated UTC = watch time - error = 01h42m36s - -15h45m = 17h27m36s. Residual = -31.5' = -.525°. Partial derivatives of altitude with respect to latitude, longitude, and time are -.945° / ° N lat, -.222° / ° E lon, +.0555° / min CE. Form an equation as before: -.525 = -.945 ∆φ - .222 ∆λ + .0555 ∆CE JUPTER ALTITUDE OBSERVATION: > 3 - Third set of Observations : 5 Jupiter shots > > Watch Time t31=01h47m25.0s T31 = 17h32m25.0s H31 = 31�57'1 > Watch Time t32=01h48m17.0s T32 = 17h33m17.0s H32 = 31�50'2 > Watch Time t33=01h49m15.0s T33 = 17h34m15.0s H33 = 31�42'3 > Watch Time t34=01h50m03.0s T34 = 17h35m03.0s H34 = 31�36'2 > Watch Time t35=01h51m22.0s T35 = 17h36m22.0s H35 = 31�26'0 Mean watch time = 01h49m16s, Jupiter mean refracted altitude = 31°42.4' - 4.0' dip = 31°38.4'. Estimated UTC = 17h34m16s. Put residual and partial derivatives in an equation as before: -1.523 = -.695 ∆φ - .490 ∆λ + .123 ∆CE LUNAR DISTANCE TO JUPITER > 4 - Fourth set of Observations : 5 Jupiter Lunar Distances near limb > > Watch Time t41=02h05m07.0s T41 = 17h50m07.0s H41 = 29�37'5 > Watch Time t42=02h06m14.0s T42 = 17h51m14.0s H42 = 29�38'0 > Watch Time t43=02h07m25.0s T43 = 17h52m25.0s H43 = 29�38'4 > Watch Time t44=02h08m17.0s T44 = 17h53m17.0s H44 = 29�38'8 > Watch Time t45=02h09m24.0s T45 = 17h54m24.0s H45 = 29�39'1 Mean watch time = 02h07m17s, Moon near limb to Jupiter mean refracted distance = 29°38.4'. Estimated UTC = 17h52m17s. Unlike altitudes, I know of no simple formulae for the partial derivatives. It's less trouble to get them from a program by observing the way lunar distance responds a change in latitude or longitude. Form an equation as before: .092 = -.003 ∆φ - .010 ∆λ - .0057 ∆CE SOLUTION #1 Here are the equations we created: -1.640 = -.630 ∆φ - .530 ∆λ + .133 ∆CE -.525 = -.945 ∆φ - .222 ∆λ + .0555 ∆CE -1.523 = -.695 ∆φ - .490 ∆λ + .123 ∆CE .092 = -.003 ∆φ - .010 ∆λ - .0057 ∆CE Many scientific calculators can solve such a set of equations by the method of least squares. I used my old HP 49G, which has been out of production for years. Solution: ∆φ = -.24° ∆λ = -.43° ∆CE = -15.3m Add these corrections to the initial estimates of latitude, longitude, and clock error to obtain improved values. Then repeat the entire procedure. ITERATION #2 Form new residuals, partial derivatives, and equations. The procedure is the same as before, so I'll show only the equations. This time the residuals (on the left) are much less than before. I.e., after applying the above corrections to latitude, longitude, and clock error, the predicted angles are now closer to the observed angles. Sun altitude 0.048 = -.591 ∆φ - .553 ∆λ + .138 ∆CE Moon altitude: 0.051 = -.909 ∆φ - .286 ∆λ + .072 ∆CE Jupiter altitude: 0.050 = -.643 ∆φ - .525 ∆λ + .131 ∆CE Lunar distance: 0.001 = -.003 ∆φ - .010 ∆λ - 0.0057 ∆CE Solution: ∆φ = -.043° ∆λ = -.055° ∆CE = -.056m RESIDUALS AFTER ITERATION #2 After applying the above corrections, we get these residuals: Sun altitude 0.000° Moon altitude -0.001° Jupiter altitude 0.001° Lunar distance 0.000° All computed values are within .001° of the observations, so there is no need for a third iteration. FINAL RESULTS AND CHECK clock time - UTC = -16h00m21s Latitude = +46.717° = 46°43.0 N Longitude = -2.485° = 002°29.1' W For an independent check, use the above values and the USNO MICA program (which I did not use for the preceding computations). Compare its output to the observed angles. To compensate for MICA's error in ∆T (68.18 s vs. the correct value 66.35), and the UT1-UTC difference (-.17 s), 1) add 2.00 s to UTC and enter the sum as UT1 to MICA, 2) move the observer east by the (sidereal) arc equivalent of 1.83 s = 1.83 * 15 * 1.002738 arc seconds. Sun altitude 11°15.4' observed refracted LL + 11.6' refraction & SD (Nautical Almanac) -------- 11°27.0' unrefracted center 11 27.0' MICA Moon altitude 57°15.2' observed refracted LL - .6' refraction (Nautical Almanac) + 15.1 SD (MICA) -------- 57°29.7' unrefracted center 57 29.8' MICA Jupiter altitude 31°38.4' observed refracted center - 1.6' refraction -------- 31°36.8' unrefracted center 31°36.8' MICA MICA cannot compute the Moon to Jupiter distance, but it will give their topocentric azimuths and altitudes. After applying refraction to the altitudes, the separation angle may be found with a calculator. 29°38.4' observed, near limb to Jupiter center, refracted + 15.1' SD -------- 29°53.5' observed center to center, refracted 29°53.5' MICA All computed angles agree with the observations within 0.1'. --