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    Re: Timekeeping in the post-WWV/post-HF world
    From: Robert VanderPol II
    Date: 2018 Sep 26, 21:25 -0700

    Could there be a seasonal variation overlayed with and aging variation?

    Just a curiousity question that occured to me based on other members mentioning temperature dependence.  No don't bother to pursue this more.

    Regards,

    Bob II

    Re: Timekeeping in the post-WWV/post-HF world
    From: Roger W. Sinnott
    Date: 2018 Sep 26, 20:39 +0000

    Robert:
    Another graph in the article fits a straight line across all the data and exaggerates the ups and downs.  But they don't clearly indicate a seasonal variation.  The changes occur more leisurely, and I think they are related to aging of the crystal or the battery (or both).  
    The fairly steady gaining rate of 50.4 seconds per year is what I found remarkable.  Deviations of up 7 seconds either way were measured with respect to this rate.  If a navigator determined the rate from a shorter interval (say, 1 year instead of 4), and extrapolated for a similarly short interval beyond that (1 year again), the deviations would be much less than 7 seconds.
    In the article, I analyzed the time-keeping quality of this watch by the same method that was used 250 years ago to judge Harrison's No. 4 chronometer (as described by Rupert T. Gould in his classic, The Marine Chronometer) .  My $6 watch did considerably better than that chronometer.
    Roger
       
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