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A Community Devoted to the Preservation and Practice of Celestial Navigation and Other Methods of Traditional Wayfinding
Re: Where are you most likely to be in the triangle?
From: Stephen N.G. Davies
Date: 2017 Jan 23, 11:11 +0800
From: Stephen N.G. Davies
Date: 2017 Jan 23, 11:11 +0800
It is very untechnical, but when I was trained in Britain’s Royal Navy an aeon ago, the answer to the question of ‘where am I most likely to be?’ in relation to cocked hats, assuming any such triangle to be modest and hence reflective of normal observational variation rather than any major error of observer or instrument, whether derived from celestial or terrestrial (i.e. compass bearings on charted objects) observations was, "that point which is nearest any known/charted navigational danger.”
Stephen D
Dr Stephen Davies
c/o Department of Real Estate and Construction
EH103, Eliot Hall
University of Hong Kong
Office: (852) 2219 4089
Mobile: (852) 6683 3754
stephen.davies79@gmail.com
daiwaisi@hku.hk
c/o Department of Real Estate and Construction
EH103, Eliot Hall
University of Hong Kong
Office: (852) 2219 4089
Mobile: (852) 6683 3754
stephen.davies79@gmail.com
daiwaisi@hku.hk
On 22 Jan 2017, at 6:38 AM, Bill Lionheart <NoReply_Lionheart@fer3.com> wrote:I think this might be a fact that is "well known to those who know". Suppose you have three non intersection position lines from CN, You draw the triangle on your chart (so I mean the triangle is small enough that straight lines on a chart are a good approximation). Suppose that the errors in the measurements were normally distributed with the same standard deviation. For example we took enough sextant readings and averaged and evoked the central limit theorem to say they should be normal. So which point do we choose in the triangle as our position? The "middle"? Well there are 4 well-known centres of triangles (centroid, orthocentre incentre, circumcentre), and actually there are thousands of interesting centres of triangle with different properties tabulated by Kimberling http://mathworld.wolfram.com/KimberlingCenter.html The Maximum Likelihood estimate (ie in a sense the most likely) is the one that minimizes the sum of squares of the distances from the position lines. This point (number 6 in Kimberling's list!) is called the Symmedian Point, or Lemoine point or the Grebe point Diagram here http://mathworld.wolfram.com/SymmedianPoint.html Here is "The List" (scroll down to "X(6)") http://faculty.evansville.edu/ck6/encyclopedia/ETC.html So that is where you are most likely to be! Interestingly it can be constructed fairly easily with ruler and compasses. (Just for fun of course, you would be better off taking the time to get some more sights if you want better accuracy) Bill Lionheart